Changes to the MCD business model and guidance

07/23/08 01:36PM EDT
Commodity costs increasing

08Q1 - In 2008, U.S. beef costs are expected to be relatively flat and chicken costs are expected to rise about 5% to 6%. In Europe, beef costs are expected to be up 3% to 4%, while chicken costs are expected to increase approximately 6% to 8%.

08Q2 - In 2008, U.S. beef costs are expected to be up 8% to 9% and chicken costs are expected to rise about 5% to 6%. In Europe, beef costs are expected to be up 8% to 9%, while chicken costs are expected to increase approximately 7% to 8%.
Lower Tax rate

08Q1 – MCD expects the effective income tax rate for the full-year 2008 to be approximately 30% to 32%, although some volatility may be experienced between the quarters in the normal course of business.

08Q2 – MCD expects the effective income tax rate for the full-year 2008 to be approximately 29% to 31%, although some volatility may be experienced between the quarters in the normal course of business.
No Change to G&A trends

08Q1 – MCD expects full-year 2008 selling, general & administrative expenses to decline, in constant currencies, although fluctuations may be experienced between the quarters due to items such as the 2008 biennial Worldwide Owner/Operator Convention, the 2008 Beijing Summer Olympics and the August 2007 sale of the Company’s businesses in Latin America.

08Q2 – MCD expects full-year 2008 selling, general & administrative expenses to decline, in constant currencies, although fluctuations may be experienced between the quarters due to items such as the 2008 biennial Worldwide Owner/Operator Convention, the 2008 Beijing Summer Olympics and the August 2007 sale of the Company’s businesses in Latin America.

No Chang in Capital Spending

08Q1 – MCD expects capital expenditures for 2008 to be approximately $2 billion. About half of this amount will be reinvested in existing restaurants while the rest will primarily be used to open 1,000 restaurants (950 traditional and 50 satellites). The Company expects net additions of about 600 restaurants (700 net traditional additions and 100 net satellite closings). These restaurant numbers include new unit openings in affiliate and developmental license markets, such as Japan and those in Latin America, where the Company invests no capital.

08Q2 – MCD expects capital expenditures for 2008 to be approximately $2 billion. About half of this amount will be reinvested in existing restaurants while the rest will primarily be used to open 1,000 restaurants (950 traditional and 50 satellites). The Company expects net additions of about 600 restaurants (700 net traditional additions and 100 net satellite closings). These restaurant numbers include new unit openings in affiliate and developmental license markets, such as Japan and those in Latin America, where the Company invests no capital.

No Change in the cash returned to Shareholders

08Q1 - For 2007 through 2009, MCD expects to return $15 billion to $17 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, subject to business and market conditions. For the full year 2007 and the first quarter 2008 combined, the Company returned $8.2 billion to shareholders.

08Q2 - For 2007 through 2009, MCD expects to return $15 billion to $17 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends, subject to business and market conditions. For the full year 2007 and first half of 2008 combined, the Company returned $9.4 billion to shareholders.
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