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8.5 Years & No Recession... How Much Longer Can This Continue? - economy growing

The current U.S. economic expansion has lasted 8.5 years now without a recession. That’s over 100 months in a row. The average expansion lasts 59 months. In other words, we’re 43 months beyond the average economic cycle. That makes this the third longest expansion in U.S. history.

It begs the question… when might this historic U.S. expansion die? And, what will the fallout be for markets and investors?

The answers to these questions have everything to do with measuring and mapping the U.S. economy. While we can’t say precisely when the U.S. economy might slow, being, as the Fed says, “data dependent” offers some clues into what comes next, CEO Keith McCullough said in a recent free edition of The Macro Show (our daily pre-market TV broadcast).

Consider the following recently reported economic data:

  • Durable Goods = 37 month high
  • Capex = 65 month high
  • New Home Sales = 120 month high
  • ISM Services = 147 month high
  • ISM Manufacturing = 161 month high

The data tells you a clear story. Are you listening?

Click here to watch the entire free edition of The Macro Show.

8.5 Years & No Recession... How Much Longer Can This Continue? - history cycles

8.5 Years & No Recession... How Much Longer Can This Continue? - Email graphic   Cyber Monday 2