Editor's Note: Below is a brief excerpt from today's Early Look written by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough. Click here to learn more about the Early Look.

Fed Dead Wrong on Inflation? - Chart of the Day 9 26 17

One of the few people at the US Federal Reserve that actually matters (NY Fed Head Bill Dudley) changed his story from dovish to hawkish on inflation yesterday saying that “temporary headwinds to inflation are fading.”

The absurdity will happen if Dudley, Yellen, etc. start to raise rates right before US inflation starts to rollover again (against much tougher compares) in NOV 2017 through MAR 2018 (see Chart of the Day above on our forward-looking inflation basket). Doubting their longer-term forecasting ability should never be undone.

Fed Dead Wrong on Inflation? - early look


You're Leaving Hedgeye Risk Management...

By selecting this link, you are now leaving the Hedgeye Risk Management (“HRM”) website. The following website contains information concerning investment products managed by Hedgeye Asset Management (“HAM”), an affiliate of HRM, or a firm partnering with HAM, and is subject to HAM’s Privacy Policy. As a separate legal entity, all HAM asset management services are made independently by portfolio managers at HAM and, as such, funds may vary from HRM research.

HRM is not responsible for the accuracy or completeness of information on external websites. HRM does not make any representation regarding the advisability of investing in any investment product or any particular investment advisory. Any opinions or recommendations from linked websites are solely those of our affiliate and are not the opinions or recommendations of HRM.

HRM DOES NOT PROVIDE PERSONALIZED INVESTMENT ADVICE OR ENGAGE IN ANY ASSET MANAGEMENT SERVICE. LASTLY, THIS LINK IS NOT AN OFFER TO BUY OR A SOLICITATION TO SELL ANY SECURITY OR INVESTMENT PRODUCT, OR THE SOLICITATION OF ANY ADVISORY SERVICES.