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    MARKET EDGES

    Identify global risks and opportunities with essential macro intel using Hedgeye’s Market Edges.


Our framework for when investors should buy and sell different stock market exposures is clear.

  • Buy Tech stocks when U.S. economic growth is accelerating.
  • Buy Utilities stocks when U.S. economic growth is slowing.

This makes things very simple. Right now, the U.S. economy is accelerating. So buy Tech stocks.

“Now, I don’t know how many more times you’re going to have a chance to be long Tech, but I can’t say it any more clearly, be long growth,” Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough said on The Macro Show earlier today.

The market agrees. Tech shares (XLK) are up +17.6% year-to-date versus Utilities (XLU) up just 6.9%. The S&P 500 is up 9.8% over that same period.

Digging still deeper under the hood, the performance of low yield stocks (versus high yield) and top sales/earnings growth stocks (versus slow growth stocks) also confirms our view that the U.S. economy is accelerating.

  1. LOW YIELD stocks were up +2.4% last week and are now +14.6% YTD (vs. High Yield = +0.3% YTD)
  2. TOP 25% SALES GROWTH stocks were up another +2.1% last week to +12.3% YTD (vs. Slow Growth at +1.6% YTD)
  3. TOP 25% EPS GROWTH stocks were up another +2.2% last week to +11.5% YTD (vs. Slow Growth at +1.5% YTD)

*Mean Performance of Top Quartile vs. Bottom Quartile for SP500 Companies

Stick with our call on Technology stocks here. The U.S. economy is accelerating.