CLIENT TALKING POINTS

Euro

Euro back down to the low-end of my $1.05-1.08 risk range post yesterday’s hawkish USD move; European stocks like that so we’ll get another immediate-term TRADE overbought signal this morning in both the EuroStoxx50 and the DAX.

UST 10 YR

UST 10yr had a nice ramp back to 2.49% on the heels of Yellen telling consensus that neither she nor it is currently Hawkish Enough; if she’s “data dependent”, the data has clearly perpetuated this Dollar Up, Rates Up, Stocks Up 3 month TREND.

Earnings

370 of 500 companies have reported aggregate SALES and EPS growth of +4.3% and +5.2%, respectively – that’s what happens when you comp against an earnings recession (1H 2016), and Q117 earnings are only going to be better (especially Energy and Financials).

Asset Allocation

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
2/14/17 47% 14% 12% 11% 0% 16%
2/15/17 51% 13% 11% 10% 0% 15%

Asset Allocation as a % of Max Preferred Exposure

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
2/14/17 47% 42% 36% 33% 0% 48%
2/15/17 51% 39% 33% 30% 0% 45%
The maximum preferred exposure for cash is 100%. The maximum preferred exposure for each of the other assets classes is 33%.

THREE FOR THE ROAD

TWEET OF THE DAY

ICYMI: A Simple Playbook for European Stocks app.hedgeye.com/insights/57322

@Hedgeye

QUOTE OF THE DAY

“A wrong decision is better than indecision.”

–Tony Soprano

STAT OF THE DAY

The typical root canal costs anywhere between $900 and $1,100 per tooth!