CLIENT TALKING POINTS

SPY

Registering only its 2nd immediate-term TRADE overbought signal since Trump was elected – so today isn’t the day you buy! With 30-60day realized volatility pounded to new cycle lows, bears are finally capitulating.

USD

Almost signaling immediate-term TRADE overbought as well (oversold levels for Euro and Yen vs. USD = 114.25 and $1.05, respectively) and Oil (WTI) should signal overbought again > $54, so just stay with the process – risk ranges are leading the way.

Europe

Easily the most bearish economic/market signal this week has been the breakdown in some southern European Equity markets as their respective bond yields rise – Italian Stocks down another -0.5% this morning and 10yr yield +7bps to 2.23% (+33bps in the last month).

Asset Allocation

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
2/9/17 23% 22% 17% 14% 0% 24%
2/10/17 36% 18% 15% 12% 0% 19%

Asset Allocation as a % of Max Preferred Exposure

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
2/9/17 23% 67% 52% 42% 0% 73%
2/10/17 36% 55% 45% 36% 0% 58%
The maximum preferred exposure for cash is 100%. The maximum preferred exposure for each of the other assets classes is 33%.

THREE FOR THE ROAD

TWEET OF THE DAY

Replay | Inside Bannon's Brain with "The Fourth Turning" Author Neil Howe app.hedgeye.com/archives/57111… via @Hedgeye

QUOTE OF THE DAY

“The bachelor party. The whole night. It's... Things got out of control and, uh... we lost Doug.”

–Phil (The Hangover)

STAT OF THE DAY

Central Park recieved 9.4 inches of snow yesterday.