CLIENT TALKING POINTS

Nasdaq

+5.5% YTD continues to make a series of higher-all-time-highs as High Beta remains one of the top style factors to be long of when growth and inflation are accelerating – Nasdaq should signal some exhaustion (overbought) closer to 5699 with a higher low of support now down at 5605.

Oil

Nice pullback to take advantage of this week as WTI bounced right off the low-end of my $51.78-54.20 risk range; what we think people are missing in Oil is the TRENDING break-down in Oil Volatility (OVX) which now has a risk rage of 27-32; just trade the range.

UST 10YR

Surprising drop in the 10yr yield to the low-end of my 2.33-2.55% risk range (especially surprising with Dollar Up and Nasdaq Up this week), but markets are designed to surprise us – we're still a seller of Low Beta Yield Chasing exposures relative to everything Higher Beta we like – we should see #InflationAccelerating US Import Prices tomorrow.

Asset Allocation

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
2/8/17 22% 22% 18% 12% 0% 26%
2/9/17 23% 22% 17% 14% 0% 24%

Asset Allocation as a % of Max Preferred Exposure

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
2/8/17 22% 67% 55% 36% 0% 79%
2/9/17 23% 67% 52% 42% 0% 73%
The maximum preferred exposure for cash is 100%. The maximum preferred exposure for each of the other assets classes is 33%.

THREE FOR THE ROAD

TWEET OF THE DAY

Cartoon of the Day: Snow Job app.hedgeye.com/feed_items/571

@Hedgeye

QUOTE OF THE DAY

“Spectacular achievements come from unspectacular preparation.”

–Roger Staubach

STAT OF THE DAY

Jerry Rice leads the NFL with 2008 career touchdowns.