Dead Dove Walking! Missing the acceleration in growth/inflation, after missing the slow-down!

02/02/17 08:15AM EST

CLIENT TALKING POINTS

Dollar

Damn the data (ISM accelerated, again, with Prices Paid ripping a 69.0), when Janet isn’t allowed to see it and raise rates like she should have yesterday; maybe it takes a jobs report tomorrow like the ADP ramp we saw yesterday to rock her out of the nest; happy to see EUR/USD $1.08 – been waiting on that an Yen 112 to sell both.

JGB

Japanese Government Bond Yields continue to signal a bullish breakout on the long end (like German and US 10s have), with JGB 10yr up another +2bps to +0.10%; inflation accelerating from its deflationary lows, indeed.

Utes

Utilities (XLU) sacked for a -1.7% loss in the backfield yesterday, so the bond market and it’s US Equity market proxies do acknowledge the last 3 months NOV-JAN of US growth and inflation accelerating; great day to buy more Financials (XLF) and Industrials (XLI), keeping long-term bonds (TLT) and Utes (XLU) on the short side.

Asset Allocation

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
2/1/17 22% 21% 17% 15% 0% 25%
2/2/17 22% 22% 18% 12% 0% 26%

Asset Allocation as a % of Max Preferred Exposure

CASH US EQUITIES INTL EQUITIES COMMODITIES FIXED INCOME INTL CURRENCIES
2/1/17 22% 64% 52% 45% 0% 76%
2/2/17 22% 67% 55% 36% 0% 79%
The maximum preferred exposure for cash is 100%. The maximum preferred exposure for each of the other assets classes is 33%.

THREE FOR THE ROAD

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