That’s right. We like Russia, even after Russia’s RTSI stock index rose 52.2% in 2016 and after President Barack Obama’s recent retaliatory sanctions against the country for alleged interference in the 2016 presidential election.
Our predictive tracking algorithm – the GIP model (which stands for Growth, Inflation, Policy) – suggests the Russian economy will continue growing while inflation slows through the first half of 2017. We call this setup Quad 1 and it is very bullish Russian stocks, explains Senior Macro analyst Darius Dale in the video above. (Click here to learn more about how we model global economies.)
As Dale wrote recently in a note to subscribers:
“Part of our bullish thesis on Russia – which is the only emerging market we like here – is the deepening of Trump/Putin relations that may eventually lead to an unwind of sanctions on trade and capital flows which have helped perpetuate one of Russia’s most protracted recessions in the modern era.”
Or as Dale puts it more succinctly in the video above, the Russian economy is growing and you could also get some “goodies from the Trump White House as well.”