HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None

06/03/16 01:37PM EDT

Weekly Activity Wrap Up

Volume in the holiday shortened week was lower than the 2Q16TD quarterly average, however cash equities and futures maintained good year-over-year volume growth. Cash equities came in at 6.7 billion shares per day, bringing the 2Q16TD average daily volume (ADV) to 7.0 billion, +11% higher year-over-year. Futures came in at 18.3 million contracts per day this week, bringing the quarter's ADV to 18.8 million, +6% higher than the year-ago quarter.  Additionally, CME's open interest currently tallies 114.1 million contracts, +25% higher than the 91.3 million pending at the end of 2015. This compares to ICE's OI growth of just +5% YTD.  Meanwhile, options volume of 12.8 million was low enough that it dragged down the 2Q16TD ADV  to 15.2 million, -1% lower than the 2Q15 ADV. 

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon16

U.S. Cash Equity Detail

U.S. cash equities trading came in at 6.7 billion shares per day this week, bringing the 2Q16TD ADV to 7.0 billion. That marks +11% Y/Y growth. The market share battle for volume is mixed. The New York Stock Exchange/ICE is taking a 25% share of second-quarter volume, which is +95 bps higher Y/Y, while NASDAQ is taking a 17% share, -132 bps lower than one year ago.

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon2

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon3

U.S. Options Detail

U.S. options activity came in at a 12.8 million ADV this week, bringing the 2Q16TD average to 15.2 million, a -1% Y/Y contraction. In the market share battle amongst venues, NYSE/ICE's 17% share of 2Q16TD volume is +41 bps higher than one year ago. Additionally, NASDAQ's 22% share is +27 bps higher year over year. BATS has also been taking share from the competing exchanges, up to an 11% share from 10% a year ago. Meanwhile, CBOE's 26% market share of 2Q16TD is down -123 bps Y/Y. Finally, ISE/Deutsche's 14% share is -153 bps lower than 2Q15.

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon4

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon5

U.S. Futures Detail

14.7 million futures contracts per day traded through CME Group this week, bringing the 2Q16TD ADV to 14.4 million, +8% higher Y/Y. Additionally, CME open interest, the most important beacon of forward activity, currently sits at 114.1 million CME contracts pending, good for +25% growth over the 91.3 million pending at the end of 4Q15, an expansion from the previous week's +24%.

Contracts traded through ICE came in at 3.6 million per day this week, bringing the 2Q16TD ADV to 4.4 million, a +3% Y/Y expansion. ICE open interest this week tallied 66.9 million contracts, a +5% expansion versus the 63.7 million contracts open at the end of 4Q15, consistent with the previous week.

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon6

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon8

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon7

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon9 

Monthly Historical View

Monthly activity levels give a broader perspective of exchange based trends. As volatility levels, measured by the VIX, MOVE, and FX Vol should rise to normal levels after the drastic compression this cycle, we expect all marketplaces to experience higher activity levels.

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon10

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon11

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon12

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon13

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon14

HEDGEYE Exchange Tracker | Second Derivative Rate of Change Second to None - XMon15

Please let us know of any questions,

Jonathan Casteleyn, CFA, CMT 

  

  

 Joshua Steiner, CFA

 

 

© 2024 Hedgeye Risk Management, LLC. The information contained herein is the property of Hedgeye, which reserves all rights thereto. Redistribution of any part of this information is prohibited without the express written consent of Hedgeye. Hedgeye is not responsible for any errors in or omissions to this information, or for any consequences that may result from the use of this information.