• It's Coming...

    MARKET EDGES

    Identify global risks and opportunities with essential macro intel using Hedgeye’s Market Edges.

Takeaway: Despite the Fed's talk of rate hikes, we remain the bulls on Long Bonds (TLT).

What The Bond Market Tells Us About U.S. Growth (Or The Lack Thereof) - tlt lowdown

"Unfortunately, the bond market isn’t buying into the hope that GDP is +2.5% here in Q2 (we’re still below 1%) – at 1.86% this am the 10yr Yield is signaling at 1.68% is still very much in play ahead of next week’s #EmploymentSlowing report," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough wrote in a note sent to subscribers earlier today.

Take a look at the 10-year Treasury since the Fed's December "rate hike."

What The Bond Market Tells Us About U.S. Growth (Or The Lack Thereof) - 10yr treasury 5 25

The flattening of the 10s/2s yield spread to a year-to-date low is another explicitly bearish U.S. growth signal.

What The Bond Market Tells Us About U.S. Growth (Or The Lack Thereof) - 10s2s yield spread

That's why we remain THE BULLS on Long Bonds (TLT).

Stick with it here.