Slow Global Growth Snails

Takeaway: The latest read through on U.S. and Euro-area economies isn't good and confirms both economies remain mired in this slow growth environment.

Slow Global Growth Snails - Slow growth snails cartoon 07.14.2015

 

Here's analysis from our Macro team in a note sent to subscribers this morning:

 

"Eurozone April preliminary PMIs were released this morning... drum roll... both the Manufacturing and Composite (Manufacturing + Services) fell month-over-month, in-line with our theme of #EuropeSlowing. Eurozone Manufacturing recorded 51.3 vs. 51.6 prior and the Composite fell to 53.0 vs. 53.1. Services rose 10bps to 53.2. Meanwhile, coming late to the party, the ECB released the results of the Q2 2016 survey of professional forecasters, which sees the inflation forecast revised down by 0.4% to 0.3% for 2016 and growth at 1.5% in 2016 vs. a prior estimate of 1.7%."

 

Slow Global Growth Snails - eurozone

 

Meanwhile, in the U.S., more souring economic data. According to Markit, its survey of U.S. Manufacturing PMI fell to its lowest level in six-and-a-half years:

 

Slow Global Growth Snails - us pmi

 

Here's analysis from Markit: 

 

"US factories reported their worst month for just over six-and-a-half years in April, dashing hopes that first quarter weakness will prove temporary... With prior months’ survey data pointing to annualized GDP growth of just 0.7% in the first quarter, the deteriorating performance of manufacturing suggests that growth could weaken closer towards stagnation in the second quarter."

 

Then there's China. Earlier this week, we noted that the PBoC would enact more "prudent" monetary policy even as China's economy continues to slow.

 

Add all of this to the laundry list of dour economic news we've seen of late.


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