Omnipotent (dovish?) Fed head Janet Yellen yesterday said the opposite of her hawkish regional Fed talking heads who made the Old Wall media rounds last week. So, naturally, USD/Rates smoked, reflation rallies!
However, what really matters is not Janet Yellen's every last word but economic fundamentals, which continue to slow. According to Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough:
"As opposed to v-bottoms on the SPY short-side, the long side has been easy YTD – as #GrowthSlows, Fed Easing has pounded the 10yr down to 1.81% this morning (2yr just went from 0.90% to 0.77% in less than a week on Fed Head confusion) and Utilities (XLU) continued to lead the way on yesterday’s Yellen Ramp, closing up another +1.5% = +14.3% YTD XLU."
How about those sectors? Take a look:
"Heck, why buy Utes on Yellen turn-tailing dovish when you can go right to the vein and buy Gold? It was +3% yesterday (vs. Financials barely up at +0.18% XLF #terrible) to +17% YTD leading most things in absolute return space which I highly doubt will be trumpeted more than “the S&P is up” (+0.5% YTD) all day today (into month-end markups)"
So here's what's working: