CHART OF THE DAY | Fed Can't Arrest Economic Gravity: New Lows For Inflation Expectations

Editor's Note: Below is a brief excerpt and chart from today's Early Look written by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough. Click here to learn more. 

 

"... Now with:

  • Inflation expectations making lower lows (5Y Breakevens = 0.94% last, lowest since May 2009) … and the trend similar across the major sovereigns
  • 10Y Yields:  Down another -5pbs this morning to  1.61% (lowest since the 2012 all-time lows)
  • Yield Spread (10’s-2’s):  98bps last and breaching 1.0% to the downside for the 1st time since 2007
  • U.S. High Yield Yields and Spreads making higher highs
  • Investment grade spreads making higher highs
  • High Yield Energy Debt making higher highs (yielding 20.21% as of yesterday’s higher high)
  • Lending Standards tightening and domestic Loan Demand falling  (latest Senior Loan Officer Survey)
  • Eurodollar futures are now pricing the probability of negative rates in the U.S. by 2017 at 17% (up from 2% at the start of the year)"

 

CHART OF THE DAY | Fed Can't Arrest Economic Gravity: New Lows For Inflation Expectations - inflation expectations



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