CALL TODAY (NEM) | Happy Assumptions vs. Sad Realities

12/22/15 10:11AM EST

Please join us TODAY (Tuesday, December 22, 2015 at 11AM EST) for a review of the bear case on Newmont Mining.

Dial-in

  • Toll Free:
  • Toll:
  • Confirmation Number: 13627484 

For the corresponding slides please reply to the reminder email, and we will send them along. 

CALL TODAY (NEM) | Happy Assumptions vs. Sad Realities - Marketing Image

Overview

NEM is typically perceived as a ‘premium’ gold miner, but, for one, we aren’t sure there really is such a thing.  Long-term, NEM has been a secular underperformer; we expect that underperformance to continue.  NEM may struggle with comparatively high costs in a declining gold price environment.  We are not convinced that NEM’s 2015 cost reductions reflect the underlying production economics and expect the shares to be further derated by the market in 2016.

 

Highlights

  • Assumption vs. Reality:  A look at key assumptions behind NEM’s costs and those of competitors
  • Charges Coming:  NEM may need to again adjust asset values lower, potentially with broader implications
  • Likely Value Trap:  Cyclicals in a downswing typically look cheap as conditions deteriorate
  • No Gold Cure:  With mine production likely to exceed estimates and gold continuing to move out of favor with investors, we expect gold prices to decline in most major currencies. 
© 2024 Hedgeye Risk Management, LLC. The information contained herein is the property of Hedgeye, which reserves all rights thereto. Redistribution of any part of this information is prohibited without the express written consent of Hedgeye. Hedgeye is not responsible for any errors in or omissions to this information, or for any consequences that may result from the use of this information.