European Banking Monitor: Widening Across the Board

Below are key European banking risk monitors, which are included as part of Josh Steiner and the Financial team's "Monday Morning Risk Monitor".  If you'd like to receive the work of the Financials team or request a trial please email 

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European Financial CDS - Swaps widened almost universally among European banks last week as a lack of progress in Greek bailout negotiations racked investors' nerves.

European Banking Monitor: Widening Across the Board - chart1 financials CDS

Sovereign CDS – Sovereign Swaps mostly widened over last week. Italian, Spanish, and Portuguese swaps led the way, widening by 25 bps to 133, 19 bps to 105, and 30 bps to 162, respectively.

European Banking Monitor: Widening Across the Board - chart2 sovereign CDS

European Banking Monitor: Widening Across the Board - chart3 sovereign CDS

European Banking Monitor: Widening Across the Board - chart4 sovereign CDS

Euribor-OIS Spread – The Euribor-OIS spread (the difference between the euro interbank lending rate and overnight indexed swaps) measures bank counterparty risk in the Eurozone. The OIS is analogous to the effective Fed Funds rate in the United States.  Banks lending at the OIS do not swap principal, so counterparty risk in the OIS is minimal.  By contrast, the Euribor rate is the rate offered for unsecured interbank lending.  Thus, the spread between the two isolates counterparty risk. The Euribor-OIS spread was unchanged at 12 bps.

European Banking Monitor: Widening Across the Board - chart5 euribor.OIS spread

Matthew Hedrick 

Associate

Ben Ryan

Analyst