Russian equities continue to be a stealth leading indicator for energy prices. Recall the +16% two week gap up move the Russian Trading System Index had in early May, then the follow through we saw in crude oil and natural gas.
Today, the Russian stock market is finally correlating with a weak European market, trading -1.4%, and limping into the close. This is new, and should be noted as a leading indicator for oil prices potentially putting in a short term top. Eventually there is a demand destruction cycle component to oil prices that will matter, however short term it mattering will be.
As the facts change, we will. My short term topside target for crude oil is now $141.41. A short term topping process is underway.
KM
(chart courtesy of stockcharts.com)
Today, the Russian stock market is finally correlating with a weak European market, trading -1.4%, and limping into the close. This is new, and should be noted as a leading indicator for oil prices potentially putting in a short term top. Eventually there is a demand destruction cycle component to oil prices that will matter, however short term it mattering will be.
As the facts change, we will. My short term topside target for crude oil is now $141.41. A short term topping process is underway.
KM
(chart courtesy of stockcharts.com)
