Before formally introducing #Quad4 as one of our top Q4 macro themes, Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough explained during an institutional call in September why we were likely heading into Quadrant 4 of his model. That’s when both growth and inflation slow.
For the record, during this call McCullough also advised getting long Utilities (XLU) which is up well over 6% since this video first aired, versus the S&P 500 which is down -1%.
#Quad4 is one of Hedgeye's Q4 2014 Macro Themes. In other words, it's one of the most important macro trends our macro team has identified for the quarter.
- · #Quad4: Our models are forecasting a continued slowing in the pace of domestic economic growth, as well as a further deceleration in inflation here in Q4. The confluence of these two events is likely to perpetuate a rise in volatility across asset classes as broad-based expectations for a robust economic recovery and tighter monetary policy are met with bearish data that is counter to the consensus narrative.