Below are key European banking risk monitors, which are included as part of Josh Steiner and the Financial team's "Monday Morning Risk Monitor". If you'd like to receive the work of the Financials team or request a trial please email
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European Financial CDS - 31 of 37 reference entities in Europe tightened on the week by an average of 5 bps. While the month-over-month change is still +11 bps, on average, it has moderated notably with this last print.
Sovereign CDS – Sovereign swaps were mixed last week with Italian swaps widening the most (+13 bps to 133 bps) and Portuguese swaps tightening the most (-6 bps to 190 bps).
Euribor-OIS Spread – The Euribor-OIS spread (the difference between the euro interbank lending rate and overnight indexed swaps) measures bank counterparty risk in the Eurozone. The OIS is analogous to the effective Fed Funds rate in the United States. Banks lending at the OIS do not swap principal, so counterparty risk in the OIS is minimal. By contrast, the Euribor rate is the rate offered for unsecured interbank lending. Thus, the spread between the two isolates counterparty risk. The Euribor-OIS spread tightened by 2 bps to 7 bps.
Matthew Hedrick
Associate
Ben Ryan
Analyst