European Banking Monitor: European Sovereign Swaps Tighter Out of QE-Lite From ECB

Below are key European banking risk monitors, which are included as part of Josh Steiner and the Financial team's "Monday Morning Risk Monitor".  If you'd like to receive the work of the Financials team or request a trial please email 

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European Financial CDS - Swaps were mixed, though, on average, tighter across Europe's banking complex. Apparently, much of the QE-lite move was already priced in. Sberbank widened on the week by 12 bps to 321 bps.

European Banking Monitor: European Sovereign Swaps Tighter Out of QE-Lite From ECB - chart 1 euro financials CDS

Sovereign CDS – Sovereign swaps mostly tightened over last week. The US was the exception, widening by 1 bp to 17 bps. European sovereign swaps were tighter across the board on the heels of the ECB's QE-Lite. Portuguese swaps tightened 17 bps to 145 bps while Spanish sovereign swaps tightened by -10.7% (-7 bps to 57 ).

European Banking Monitor: European Sovereign Swaps Tighter Out of QE-Lite From ECB - chart 2 sovereign CDS

European Banking Monitor: European Sovereign Swaps Tighter Out of QE-Lite From ECB - chart 3 sovereign CDS

European Banking Monitor: European Sovereign Swaps Tighter Out of QE-Lite From ECB - chart 4 sovereign CDS

Euribor-OIS Spread – The Euribor-OIS spread (the difference between the euro interbank lending rate and overnight indexed swaps) measures bank counterparty risk in the Eurozone. The OIS is analogous to the effective Fed Funds rate in the United States.  Banks lending at the OIS do not swap principal, so counterparty risk in the OIS is minimal.  By contrast, the Euribor rate is the rate offered for unsecured interbank lending.  Thus, the spread between the two isolates counterparty risk. The Euribor-OIS spread widened by 1 bps to 17 bps.

European Banking Monitor: European Sovereign Swaps Tighter Out of QE-Lite From ECB - chart 5 euribor OIS Spread

Matthew Hedrick

Associate

Ben Ryan

Analyst