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TODAY’S S&P 500 SET-UP – August 14, 2014


As we look at today's setup for the S&P 500, the range is 44 points or 2.09% downside to 1906 and 0.17% upside to 1950.                                       

SECTOR PERFORMANCE

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 1

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 2

EQUITY SENTIMENT:

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 10

 

CREDIT/ECONOMIC MARKET LOOK:

  • YIELD CURVE: 2.01 from 2.01
  • VIX closed at 12.9 1 day percent change of -8.70%

 

MACRO DATA POINTS (Bloomberg Estimates):

  • 8:30am: Initial Jobless Claims, Aug. 9, est. 295k (prior 289k)          
  • Continuing Claims, Aug. 2, est. 2.507m (prior 2.518m)     
  • 8:30am: Import Price Index m/m, July, est. -0.3% (prior 0.1%)    
  • 8:45am: Bloomberg U.S. Economic Survey, Aug.               
  • 9:45am: Bloomberg Consumer Comfort, Aug. 10 (prior 36.2)       
  • 10am: Freddie Mac mortgage rates        
  • 10:30am: EIA natural-gas storage change             
  • 1pm: U.S. to sell $16b 30-yr bonds           

GOVERNMENT:          

  • Senate, House recess; President Obama on Martha’s Vineyard 
  • 9am:  Organization for International Investment Pres. Nancy McLernon, speaks to Bloomberg reporters, editors               
  • U.S. ELECTION WRAP: Status of Hawaii’s Primary; NRSC in Mich.               

WHAT TO WATCH:          

  • Euro-region recovery stalls as biggest economies fail to expand
  • Germany’s 10-yr yield drops below 1% for first time on record  
  • U.S. banks said to get enforcement letters in FX-rigging probes
  • Cisco cutting 6k jobs, CEO seeks revamp amid stagnant growth 
  • InterMune said to draw bids from Sanofi to Roche          
  • Israel, Hamas extend Gaza truce in quest for broader accord      
  • Ukraine open to compromise on Russia aid as own convoys readied       
  • Intel agrees to buy Avago networking unit Axxia for $650m         
  • GE appliance unit said to draw interest from Electrolux, Quirky  
  • Carlyle’s Axalta is said to tap banks for $1b U.S. IPO        
  • Barclays index unit said to draw offers from Nasdaq, CME Group             
  • Pfizer wins panel backing to expand Prevnar vaccine in seniors 
  • Merck & Co. wins U.S. FDA approval of new type of sleeping pill               
  • Hilton, Ally, Seibu added to MSCI world indexes               
  • Puerto Rico’s Prepa faces repayment deadline on $671m in debt             
  • T-Mobile CFO hints higher Iliad offer OK: WSJ    

EARNINGS:        

  • Advance Auto Parts (AAP) 8:30am, $2.01             
  • Agilent Technologies (A) 4:05pm, $0.74 
  • Applied Materials (AMAT) 4:02pm, $0.27 - Preview         
  • Autodesk (ADSK) 4:01pm, $0.29               
  • B2Gold (BTO CN) 6:30am, $0.02
  • Bally Technologies (BYI) 4:01pm, $1.20  
  • J.C. Penney (JCP) 4:01pm, ($0.90) - Preview       
  • Kohl’s (KSS) 7am, $1.07 - Preview            
  • Nordstrom (JWN) 4:05pm, $0.95 - Preview          
  • Pacific Rubiales (PRE CN) 6am, $0.41       
  • Penn West Petroleum (PWT CN) 6:33am, $0.10 
  • Perrigo (PRGO) 7:42am, $1.55   
  • Plug Power (PLUG) 7am, ($0.04)              
  • Sina (SINA) 5pm, $0.09 
  • Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) 7am, $1.21 - Preview   

COMMODITY/GROWTH EXPECTATION (HEADLINES FROM BLOOMBERG)

  • Commodities Fall to Six-Month Low as Gains for Year Evaporating
  • WTI Oil Falls as U.S. Crude Stockpiles Increase; Brent Declines
  • Silver Price Goes Electronic in Transparency Quest: Commodities
  • Gold Climbs for Third Day Boosted by Ukraine to Middle East
  • Copper Falls to Seven-Week Low on GDP Reports and China Output
  • Corn Drops With Soybeans as Rain Seen Boosting U.S. Crop Outlook
  • Palm Slumps to Five-Year Low as Bear Market Deepens on Supplies
  • No Room at the Bin for U.S. Grain Amid Buffett’s BNSF Rail Jam
  • Germany Needs More Coal-Plant Shutdowns as RWE Accelerates Halts
  • Gold Consumption in China Shrinks 52% Amid Anti-Graft Campaign
  • Gold Demand in India May Decline to Five-Year Low on Curbs
  • Rebar Drops as Iron Ore at Record Low on China Financing Concern
  • Putin’s Pipeline Bypassing Ukraine at Risk Amid Conflict: Energy
  • Europe Airlines Cut Jet Fuel Hedging as Prices Seen Falling

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 5

 

CURRENCIES


THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 6

GLOBAL PERFORMANCE

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 3

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 4

EUROPEAN MARKETS

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 7

ASIAN MARKETS

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 8

MIDDLE EAST

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 9

The Hedgeye Macro Team