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Below are key European banking risk monitors, which are included as part of Josh Steiner and the Financial team's "Monday Morning Risk Monitor".  If you'd like to receive the work of the Financials team or request a trial please email .

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European Financial CDS - Swaps were notably widener in Europe last week but remain modestly tighter month-over-month.  Greek banks, which have seen their swaps tighten steadily for months now widened sharply. 

European Banking Monitor: Credit Risk Widens Substantially - chart 1 european financials CDS

Sovereign CDS – Sovereign swaps widened last week. Italian sovereign swaps widened by 11% (11 bps to 113) and Portuguese sovereign swaps widened by 18% (27 bps to 180).

European Banking Monitor: Credit Risk Widens Substantially - chart 2 Sovereign CDS

European Banking Monitor: Credit Risk Widens Substantially - chart 3 Sovereign CDS

European Banking Monitor: Credit Risk Widens Substantially - chart 4 sovereign CDS

Euribor-OIS Spread – The Euribor-OIS spread (the difference between the euro interbank lending rate and overnight indexed swaps) measures bank counterparty risk in the Eurozone. The OIS is analogous to the effective Fed Funds rate in the United States.  Banks lending at the OIS do not swap principal, so counterparty risk in the OIS is minimal.  By contrast, the Euribor rate is the rate offered for unsecured interbank lending.  Thus, the spread between the two isolates counterparty risk. The Euribor-OIS spread widened by 2 bps to 19 bps.

European Banking Monitor: Credit Risk Widens Substantially - chart 5 Euribor OIS Spread

Matthew Hedrick

Associate

Ben Ryan

Analyst