European Banking Monitor: Greek CDS Continues Tightening

Below are key European banking risk monitors, which are included as part of Josh Steiner and the Financial team's "Monday Morning Risk Monitor".  If you'd like to receive the work of the Financials team or request a trial please email .

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European Financial CDS - It was a mixed bag for European swaps this past week. 25 swaps widened and 13 swaps tightened. The Greek banks continue to tighten notably, dropping an average of 33 bps in the past week and 185 bps in the past month. Belgian banks also tightened considerably, dropping an average of 9 bps w/w. Russia’s Sberbank, Germany's IKB, and France's Societe Generale all widened w/w, by 25, 15, and 11 bps, respectively. 

European Banking Monitor: Greek CDS Continues Tightening - chart 1 euro financial cds

Sovereign CDS – European Sovereign Swaps mostly tightened over last week. French sovereign swaps tightened by -3.9% (-2 bps to 46 ) and Portuguese sovereign swaps widened by 1.8% (3 bps to 173).

European Banking Monitor: Greek CDS Continues Tightening - chart 2 sovereign cds

European Banking Monitor: Greek CDS Continues Tightening - chart 3 sovereign cds

European Banking Monitor: Greek CDS Continues Tightening - chart 4 sovereign cds

Euribor-OIS Spread – The Euribor-OIS spread (the difference between the euro interbank lending rate and overnight indexed swaps) measures bank counterparty risk in the Eurozone. The OIS is analogous to the effective Fed Funds rate in the United States.  Banks lending at the OIS do not swap principal, so counterparty risk in the OIS is minimal.  By contrast, the Euribor rate is the rate offered for unsecured interbank lending.  Thus, the spread between the two isolates counterparty risk. The Euribor-OIS spread did not change from the previous week, remaining at 15 bps.

European Banking Monitor: Greek CDS Continues Tightening - chart 5 euribor ois spread

Matthew Hedrick

Associate

Ben Ryan

Analyst