Eye on Putin Power...

06/18/08 11:33AM EDT
As European Equity markets are down -1.5-2% across the board, limping into the close of their trading day, one country index remains unlike the others - Putin's Russian RTS Index, trading flattish.

Since I issued my "Sell" call on the US on May 16th, Russia has held up relatively well, outperforming US stocks by a considerable margin. If we go back to April 1st (see chart), we see "Putin's Power" quantified, with a stock market appreciation of +14%.

Yes, this has a lot to do with commodities, and from a stylistic factoring perspective Russian stocks look a lot like Canadian stocks do. Other than maybe the Canada/Russia gold medal hockey games, natural resource exposure to oil and natural gas is about the only 2 things these cultures have in common.

Do not underestimate the risks associated with Putin's Geopolitical Power amplifying.
KM

(chart courtesy of stockcharts.com)
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