LVS 4Q 2013 CONF CALL NOTES

01/29/14 05:48PM EST

Another bad hold Q in Singapore shouldn’t overshadow a hold adjusted beat, accelerating share repurchases, 40% sequential hike in the quarterly dividend, and growing enthusiasm for retail mall monetization.

CONF CALL

  • Non-gaming also did well in Macau
  • Raised dividend to $2 for 2014
  • Led market by far in mass market and premium mass
  • More people visiting Macau and LVS properties on Cotai
  • Mainland visitation up 15% in 2013
  • Macau average length of stay still below Hong Kong's 
  • Table productivity will get better
  • 4Q:  17.4MM visits to Macau property portfolio (8MM visits to Venetian Macau)
  • MBS:  
    • Record for mass win/table/day:  $4.63MM
    • ADR: $425 occu: 97%
  • Parisian:  remain on budget and on schedule.  Target a late 2015 opening.
  • Japan:  pursuing IR opportunity
  • Korea:  increased activity in that market
  • Returned $700MM to Sands China shareholders
  • Sands China Limited 2014 dividend increased by 31% to HK$0.87; HK$0.77 special dividend will be paid in February
  • $1.4 BN repurchase program left.  Will repurchase at least $75MM per month.
  • Comfortable with 2.0x-3.5x gross leverage ratio; current leverage ratio is at 2.0x

Q & A

  • Hold adjusted MBS margin: little north of 47%
  • MBS:  seeing increased volume in slot and mass business especially premium portions- margin remains low 60s
  • MBS hold:  2.7% - 3.0% is achievable
  • $12-14BN- monetizable retail mall sales opportunity:  commencing process for final approval from Macau govt
  • Macau:  infrastructure improvements in Southern China
  • 3 properties opening in 2015:  Galaxy Macau (PH2), MSC and the Parisian; Parisian may open before at least one of them.
  • MPEL doing quite well in premium mass- but LVS catching up
  • Got ok for Four Seasons Co-op sale.  Got ok for sale of St. Regis tower.
  • SCC:  rooms are biggest driver of mass/VIP.  Still in the infancy stage of growth.
    • Can hit 15-16k on mass win/table/day from current 13k
  • Don't want to be in position where they owe money
  • Japan:  1st legislation has been passed; 2nd legislation should be passed in June (location/ bidding information/licensing); everyone they spoke to believe the 2nd piece of legislation will be passed.  Some major Japanese conglomerates have expressed interest. 
    • In a favored position; MBS often talked about as the IR model in Tokyo; 22% of conventions had Japan ties
  • Macau - 800 games generating $8-9k win per day
  • Been putting in more ETGs in SCC and Venetian
  • Chimelong resort on Henquin will benefit LVS 
  • S'pore VIP market:  junket structure not in discussion; pure mass play disappearing (S'pore locals); sees a flat market in the near-term, not much VIP RC growth in future; want to focus on margins; real growth resides in non-rolling chip segment
  • Vegas:  2014 convention business in good shape (rates moving up a little bit)
  • Commissions higher at Venetian.  Mix between premium direct and junket affected the number. 
  • SCC:  will see 44%-46% margins on non-rolling segment.  Pure mass margins will tick up. 
  • S'pore low hold:  not as much dollar volume as Macau; betting less in ties in baccarat; very volatile play
  • Expect $60MM VIP RC for MBS annually
© 2024 Hedgeye Risk Management, LLC. The information contained herein is the property of Hedgeye, which reserves all rights thereto. Redistribution of any part of this information is prohibited without the express written consent of Hedgeye. Hedgeye is not responsible for any errors in or omissions to this information, or for any consequences that may result from the use of this information.