Below are key European banking risk monitors, which are included as part of Josh Steiner and the Financial team's "Monday Morning Risk Monitor". If you'd like to receive the work of the Financials team or request a trial please email .
European Financial CDS - Swaps tightened broadly across European Financials last week. #EuroBulls remains alive and well in the banking sector as the EU Financials posted a mean and median tightening of 5 and 14 bps, respectively. The biggest improvements came from Greece, Spain, Italy and Portugal. The only negative divergence was again Sberbank of Russia, where swaps widened 7 bps to 219 bps on further commodity deflation.
Sovereign CDS – Sovereign swaps were tighter across the board except in the US, where swaps widened a modest 1 bp to 31 bps. The biggest improvements came from Portugal (-31 bps) and Spain (-13 bps).
Euribor-OIS Spread – The Euribor-OIS spread was unchanged at 11 bps. The Euribor-OIS spread (the difference between the euro interbank lending rate and overnight indexed swaps) measures bank counterparty risk in the Eurozone. The OIS is analogous to the effective Fed Funds rate in the United States. Banks lending at the OIS do not swap principal, so counterparty risk in the OIS is minimal. By contrast, the Euribor rate is the rate offered for unsecured interbank lending. Thus, the spread between the two isolates counterparty risk.