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TODAY’S S&P 500 SET-UP – November 6, 2013


As we look at today's setup for the S&P 500, the range is 20 points or 0.68% downside to 1751 and 0.46% upside to 1771.                                              

SECTOR PERFORMANCE

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 1

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 2

 

EQUITY SENTIMENT:

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 10                                                                                                                                                                  

 

CREDIT/ECONOMIC MARKET LOOK:

  • YIELD CURVE: 2.36 from 2.37
  • VIX closed at 13.27 1 day percent change of 2.63%

MACRO DATA POINTS (Bloomberg Estimates):

  • 7am: MBA Mortgage Applications, Nov. 1 (prior 6.4%)
  • 7:30am: Challenger Job Cuts, Oct., y/y (prior 19.1%)
  • 10am: Leading Index, Sept., est. 0.6% (prior 0.7%)
  • 10:30am: DOE Energy Inventories
  • 11am: Fed to buy $2.75b-$3.5b in 2020-2023 sector
  • 1:10pm: Fed’s Pianalto speaks in Ohio

GOVERNMENT:

  • Election results:
    • Chris Christie, Terry McAuliffe win gubernatorial contests
    • Christie’s landslide victory may bolster White House run
    • N.Y. votes to allow more casinos; Colorado approves pot tax
  • 8:30am: Treasury to release qtrly refunding plan, may comment on debt limit, plans to issue floating notes
  • 10am: HHS Sec. Kathleen Sebelius testifies before Sen. Finance Cmte on plans for fixing health insurance exchange website
  • 1:30pm: Labor Secretary Thomas Perez, former Rep. Patrick Murphy, D-Penn., attend discussion on veterans’ employment
  • 2:30pm: Sen. Lamar Alexander, R-Tenn., testifies before Commerce, Science, Transportation Cmte on science, U.S. economy
  • 2:30pm: HUD Secretary Shaun Donovan, FEMA Administrator Craig Fugate testify at Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Cmte hearing on recovery from Hurricane Sandy

WHAT TO WATCH:

  • Twitter IPO means more scrutiny of exchanges after FB debacle
  • Wells Fargo said among banks facing U.S. mortgage-bond probes
  • Former crude traders claim proof that oil market is rigged
  • Boeing seeks labor peace with offer to keep 777X in Seattle
  • Washington governor assembles perks to keep Boeing in-state
  • Google may scrap plans for HK data center, Apple Daily says
  • Tesla CEO Musk says battery supply constraining production
  • Revamp of U.S. military force planning delays contract awards

AM EARNS:

    • Ariad Pharmaceuticals (ARIA) 7:35am, $(0.44)
    • Brookfield Infrastructure (BIP) 7:30am, $0.26
    • Carlyle Group (CG) 6:30am, $0.60
    • CenterPoint Energy (CNP) 8:15am, $0.35
    • Chesapeake Energy (CHK) 7:01am, $0.42 - Preview
    • Cimarex Energy (XEC) 6am, $1.55
    • Clean Harbors (CLH) 7:30am, $0.65
    • Coeur Mining (CDE) 8:30am, $(0.22)
    • Devon Energy (DVN) 7am, $1.19 - Preview
    • Duke Energy (DUK) 7am, $1.51
    • Enbridge (ENB CN) 7am, $0.36 - Preview
    • Geo Group (GEO) 7:30am, $0.43
    • HollyFrontier (HFC) 7:30am, $0.62
    • Hospira (HSP) 7:30am, $0.44
    • Humana (HUM) 6am, $2.16
    • ING US (VOYA) 5:50am, $0.65
    • Intact Financial (IFC CN) 6:55am, $0.28
    • Lamar Advertising (LAMR) 6am, $0.18
    • Marsh & McLennan (MMC) 7am, $0.46
    • Molson Coors Brewing (TAP) 7:30am, $1.39
    • NPS Pharmaceuticals (NPSP) 8am, $(0.03)
    • OGE Energy (OGE) 7am, $0.93
    • Penn West Petroleum (PWT CN) 6:31am, $0.06
    • PennyMac Mortgage Investment (PMT) 8:30am, $0.69
    • Pepco Holdings (POM) 6:03am, $0.44
    • PHH (PHH) 8:30am, $0.12
    • Ralph Lauren (RL) 8am, $2.20 - Preview
    • Sinclair Broadcast (SBGI) 7am, $0.24
    • Starz (STRZA) 7:30am, $0.44
    • SunEdison (SUNE) 6am, $(0.13)
    • Time Warner (TWX) 7am, $0.89 - Preview
    • Vonage Holdings (VG) 8am, $0.03

PM EARNS:

    • ACADIA Pharmaceuticals (ACAD) 4:01pm, $(0.12)
    • Activision Blizzard (ATVI) 4:05pm, $0.04
    • Alnylam Pharmaceuticals (ALNY) 4pm, $(0.40)
    • American Water Works Co (AWK) 4:05pm, $0.85
    • Antero Resources (AR) Aft-mkt, $0.20
    • Atmos Energy (ATO) 5:01pm, $0.12
    • Brookdale Senior Living (BKD) 4:43pm, $(0.03)
    • CBS (CBS) 4:01pm, $0.76 - Preview
    • CenturyLink (CTL) 4:05pm, $0.63
    • Chambers Street Properties (CSG) Aft-mkt, $0.18
    • Concho Resources (CXO) 5pm, $1.03
    • Concur Technologies (CNQR) 4:15pm, $0.26
    • Continental Resources (CLR) 5:47pm, $1.49
    • Corrections Corp of America (CXW) 4:15pm, $0.62
    • EOG Resources (EOG) 5:11pm, $2.05
    • Genpact (G) 4pm, $0.26
    • Giant Interactive Group (GA) 5:05pm, $0.23
    • Hersha Hospitality (HT) 4:30pm, $0.13
    • Integrys Energy Group (TEG) 5:07pm, $0.46
    • Mid-America Apartment Communities (MAA) 4:05pm, $1.22
    • Mondelez Intl (MDLZ) 4:01pm, $0.40 - Preview
    • Oasis Petroleum (OAS) 4:15pm, $0.75
    • PDL BioPharma (PDLI) 4:02pm, $0.39
    • Prudential Financial (PRU) 4:07pm, $2.11
    • Qualcomm (QCOM) 4pm, $1.08 - Preview
    • SolarCity (SCTY) 4:01pm, $(0.51)
    • Solera Holdings (SLH) 4:08pm, $0.56
    • Sun Life Financial (SLF CN) 5:10pm, $0.64
    • Tempur Sealy Intl (TPX) 4:03pm, $0.68
    • Tesoro (TSO) 4:30pm, $0.49
    • Transocean (RIG) 4:30pm, $1.07 - Preview
    • US Silica Holdings (SLCA) 4:30pm, $0.41
    • Western Gas Partners (WES) 4:09pm, $0.40
    • Whole Foods Market (WFM) 4:02pm, $0.31 - Preview
    • YY (YY) 4:01pm, $0.31

COMMODITY/GROWTH EXPECTATION (HEADLINES FROM BLOOMBERG)

  • Tin Exports From Indonesia Seen Jumping as Buyers Adapt to Rules
  • Platinum Giants Ready to Stare Down Union Over Pay: Commodities
  • WTI Rebounds From Five-Month Low Before U.S. Fuel Supply Data
  • Copper Rises Before U.S. Reports Seen Signaling Further Growth
  • Wheat Climbs on Signs of Demand From Egypt to Iraq; Corn Steady
  • U.S. Cotton Supply Seen Higher as Growing Conditions Improve
  • Gold Sales at Perth Mint Advance in October as Prices Tumble
  • Rebar Futures Fall for Second Day as Construction in China Slows
  • Coal Seen Rebounding in China on Indonesia Curbs: Energy Markets
  • Palm Production in Malaysia May Drop First Time in Eight Months
  • Oil Industry May Invoke Trade Law to Challenge U.S. Export Ban
  • China Targets Steel, Aluminum Overcapacity to Boost Profits
  • Traders Face Curbs on Speculation With CFTC Vote on New Limits
  • Floods to Drought Seen Curbing China’s Corn Harvest: Commodities

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 5

 

CURRENCIES

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 6

GLOBAL PERFORMANCE

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 3

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 4

EUROPEAN MARKETS

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 7

ASIAN MARKETS

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 8

MIDDLE EAST

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 9

The Hedgeye Macro Team