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TODAY’S S&P 500 SET-UP – October 8, 2013


As we look at today's setup for the S&P 500, the range is 14 points or 0.31% downside to 1671 and 0.53% upside to 1685.                           

SECTOR PERFORMANCE

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 1

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 2

 

EQUITY SENTIMENT:

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 10

 

CREDIT/ECONOMIC MARKET LOOK:

  • YIELD CURVE: 2.29 from 2.29
  • VIX  closed at 19.41 1 day percent change of 15.95%

MACRO DATA POINTS (Bloomberg Estimates):

  • 7:30am: NFIB Small Bus. Optimism Index, Sept., est. 94
  • 7:45am: ICSC weekly sales
  • 8:55am: Johnson/Redbook weekly sales
  • 10am: IBD/TIPP Economic Optimism, Oct., est 43.5 (prior 46)
  • 11am: Fed to purchase $1.25b-$1.75b in 2036-2043 sector
  • 11:30am: U.S. to sell 4W bills
  • 12:25pm: Fed’s Pianalto speaks on economy in Pittsburgh
  • 12:30pm: Fed’s Plosser speaks in Johnstown, Pa.
  • 1pm: U.S. to sell $30b 3Y notes
  • 7:50pm: Bank of Japan issues minutes of Sept. 4-5 meeting
  • 9pm: Bank of Japan’s Nakaso holds news conference

GOVERNMENT:

    • IMF issues World Economic Outlook; Chief Economist Olivier Blanchard gives press conference during annual meeting, 9am
    • FDIC Board Reviews Deposit Insurance Fund
    • House, Senate in session
    • Senate Armed Forces Committee Hearing on Sequestration
    • SEC Commissioner Michael Piwowar attends Chamber of Commerce’s Center for Capital Markets Competitiveness discussion on “Advancing and Defending the SEC’s Core Mission,” 11:30am

WHAT TO WATCH:

  • U.S. default specter has Japan joining China warning on debt
  • U.S. loses $1.6b from shutdown costing $160m/day
  • Alcoa begins earnings season for 1st time since drop from DJIA
  • Alcatel-Lucent to reduce 10,000 jobs worldwide as losses mount
  • Morgan Stanley seen leading bank profit gains
  • IMF to publish World Economic Outlook, 9am
  • McKesson is in advanced talks to buy Celesio: DJ
  • America Movil, AT&T discuss entering Europe: Telegraaf
  • Vodafone plans to spend $2b on Indian mobile unit buyout: FT
  • U.S. approves China co.’s takeover of Mooney Airplane: Xinhua
  • North Korea has restarted Yongbyon nuclear reactor: Yonhap
  • German exports gained in Aug. as euro-area economy recovered

EARNINGS:

    • Alcoa (AA) 4:03pm, $0.05
    • Wolverine World Wide (WWW) 6:30am, $1.03, preview
    • Yum! Brands (YUM) 4:15pm, $0.92, preview

COMMODITY/GROWTH EXPECTATION (HEADLINES FROM BLOOMBERG)

  • Cocoa Touches 23-Month High on Shortage Outlook; Sugar Climbs
  • Rubber Glut Shrinking as Car Sales Expand to Record: Commodities
  • WTI Crude Advances as Impact of U.S. Shutdown Seen Limited
  • Morgan Stanley Increases Iron Ore Outlook as Deficit Persists
  • Soybeans Poised for Longest Rally in Four Months on U.S. Weather
  • Copper Rises in London as PMI Report in China Signals Growth
  • Goldman’s Currie Says Gold Is ‘Slam Dunk’ Sell After Shutdown
  • Rebar Gains on Stock Market Rally as China Returns From Holiday
  • Crude Supplies Increase for Third Week in Survey: Energy Markets
  • Asia’s Chocolate Craving Paces Global Demand: Chart of the Day
  • Battery-Stored Solar Sparks Utilities Backlash: Climate & Carbon
  • Iron Ore Demand Expands 7.5%, Keeps Market in Deficit: Bull Case
  • Olam Sees Smaller Arabica Coffee Surplus as Robusta Supply Gains
  • Vale Sees Iron-Ore Market Oversupplied From 2015 on New Capacity

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 5

 

CURRENCIES

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 6

GLOBAL PERFORMANCE

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 3

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 4

EUROPEAN MARKETS

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 7

ASIAN MARKETS

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 8

MIDDLE EAST

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 9

The Hedgeye Macro Team