This note was originally published October 03, 2013 at 10:49 in Macro
POSITION: 6 LONGS, 8 SHORTS @Hedgeye
I don’t always go net short, but when I do, I prefer Down Dollar and #GrowthSlowing.
This morning’s ISM Services report was the 1st of the major leading indicators (SEP #) in our model confirming what both the bond and currency markets continue to confirm – on the margin (from YTD growth accelerating highs in JUL-AUG), US growth is slowing.
Across our core risk management durations, here are the lines that matter to me most:
- Immediate-term TRADE resistance = 1704
- Immediate-term TRADE support = 1671
- Intermediate-term TREND support = 1660
In other words, this correction is not like the ones we bought (we shorted this one). With Bernanke banning economic gravity on the long end of the curve and the USD getting crushed, you shouldn’t have expected me to execute any other way.
It’s just our process.
Keith R. McCullough
Chief Executive Officer