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Takeaway: Brent Oil is the biggest threat to our Q2 #GrowthAccelerating macro investment theme.

As many of you already know, our three Q2 Macro Themes here at Hedgeye were:

  • #StrongDollar
  • #EmergingOutflows
  • #GrowthAccelerating

All three of these themes have played out well.

That being said, we are keeping a close eye on what's going on in the Middle East right now. In particular, the violence in Egypt following the military-led ouster of Islamist president Mohamed Mursi.

The biggest threat to our #GrowthAccelerating investment theme is the price of Brent Oil which has caught a bid following the Egyption chaos. If Brent closes, and ultimately holds above the long-term TAIL risk line of $108.36, watch out.

We are keeping a close eye on this one.

Beware of Brent - Brent Oil 2