THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK

TODAY’S S&P 500 SET-UP – June 21, 2013


As we look at today's setup for the S&P 500, the range is 46 points or 0.33% downside to 1583 and 2.57% upside to 1629.                 

                                                                                                              

SECTOR PERFORMANCE


THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 1

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 2

 

EQUITY SENTIMENT:


THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 10


CREDIT/ECONOMIC MARKET LOOK:

  • YIELD CURVE: 2.07 from 2.09
  • VIX closed at 20.49 1 day percent change of 23.14%

MACRO DATA POINTS (Bloomberg Estimates):

  • 11am: Fed to buy $1.25b-$1.75b notes in 2036-2043 sector
  • 1pm: Baker Hughes rig count

GOVERNMENT:

    • President Obama to announce Jim Comey as pick for FBI director
    • 9am: Natl Housing Conf. holds symposium on neighborhoods, household recovery from housing crisis; HUD Sec. Shaun Donovan delivers keynote remarks
    • 9am: Transportation Undersec. for Policy Polly Trottenberg, Deputy Energy Sec. Daniel Poneman participate in discussion of IEA report, “Redrawing the Energy-Climate Map.”
    • 1pm: Vice President Joe Biden speaks at U.S. Conf. of Mayors
    • 3pm: Senate Homeland Security and Governmental Affairs Cmte holds hearing on curbing prescription drug abuse in Medicare

WHAT TO WATCH

  • Oracle 4Q adj. rev. misses; co. applies to list on NYSE
  • News Corp. publishing spinoff to join S&P 500
  • U.S. said to consider doubling leverage standard for big banks
  • Apple wins suit against Samsung in Japan on screen effects
  • Tesla adding model S battery swap for faster refuels, credit
  • CME raises gold margins as prices fall to lowest since 2010
  • Nike’s second-in-command to retire amid management overhaul
  • ADM in talks on sale of cocoa ops after margins squeezed
  • United 787 to Houston diverts to Newark on low oil alert
  • Endo Health unit pays $54.5m in vaginal mesh settlement
  • CBRE plans to invest in Chinese offices even as rents slow
  • U.S. Supreme Ct, EU Summit, Wimbledon: Wk Ahead June 22-29

EARNINGS:

    • Darden Restaurants (DRI) 7am, $1.04
    • CarMax (KMX) 7:35am, $0.58

COMMODITY/GROWTH EXPECTATION (HEADLINES FROM BLOOMBERG)

  • Copper Rises as Aluminum Nears Longest Losing Streak Since 1987
  • Gold Trade Most Bearish Since ’10 as Fed Spurs Drop: Commodities
  • WTI Crude Trims Weekly Drop After Biggest Slump in Seven Months
  • Gold Rebounds in New York After Slumping to Cheapest Since 2010
  • India Approves Wheat, Rice Sale From Inventories to Curb Prices
  • Anil Ambani’s Reliance Halts Gold Sales in India to Cut Imports
  • Rebar Rises on Optimism Government Policies May Boost Demand
  • Ichimoku Beats Copper Charts Over Five Years: Technical Analysis
  • Arabica Coffee Rebounds After Nearing a 4-Year Low; Sugar Rises
  • Rajoy Targets Endesa to EDP’s Revenue to Cut Spain Debt: Energy
  • HKEx to Sign MOU With Bank of China on RMB Commodity Contracts
  • Anemic Growth Pressures Metal Prices and Capex Plans: Bear Case
  • ADM in Talks on Sale of Cocoa Operations After Margins Squeezed
  • CME Raises Margins for Gold as Prices Fall to Lowest Since 2010

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 5

 

CURRENCIES


THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 6

 

GLOBAL PERFORMANCE

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 3

 

THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 4

 

EUROPEAN MARKETS


THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 7

 

ASIAN MARKETS


THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 8

 

MIDDLE EAST


THE HEDGEYE DAILY OUTLOOK - 9

 

 

The Hedgeye Macro Team

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 


Another French Revolution?

"Don't be complacent," writes Hedgeye Managing Director Neil Howe. "Tectonic shifts are underway in France. Is there the prospect of the new Sixth Republic? C'est vraiment possible."

read more

Cartoon of the Day: The Trend is Your Friend

"All of the key trending macro data suggests the U.S. economy is accelerating," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough says.

read more

A Sneak Peek At Hedgeye's 2017 GDP Estimates

Here's an inside look at our GDP estimates versus Wall Street consensus.

read more

Cartoon of the Day: Green Thumb

So far, 64 of 498 companies in the S&P 500 have reported aggregate sales and earnings growth of 6.1% and 16.8% respectively.

read more

Europe's Battles Against Apple, Google, Innovation & Jobs

"“I am very concerned the E.U. maintains a battle against the American giants while doing everything possible to sustain so-called national champions," writes economist Daniel Lacalle. "Attacking innovation doesn’t create jobs.”

read more

An Open Letter to Pandora Management...

"Please stop leaking information to the press," writes Hedgeye Internet & Media analyst Hesham Shaaban. "You are getting in your own way, and blowing up your shareholders in the process."

read more

A 'Toxic Cocktail' Brewing for A Best Idea Short

The first quarter earnings pre-announcement today is not the end of the story for Mednax (MD). Rising labor costs and slowing volume is a toxic cocktail...

read more

Energy Stocks: Time to Buy? Here's What You Need to Know

If you're heavily-invested in Energy stocks it's been a heck of a year. Energy is the worst-performing sector in the S&P 500 year-to-date and value investors are now hunting for bargains in the oil patch. Before you buy, here's what you need to know.

read more

McCullough: ‘My 1-Minute Summary of My Institutional Meetings in NYC Yesterday’

What are even some of the smartest investors in the world missing right now?

read more

Cartoon of the Day: Political Portfolio Positioning

Leave your politics out of your portfolio.

read more

Jim Rickards Answers the Hedgeye 21

Bestselling author Jim Rickards says if he could be any animal he’d be a T-Rex. He also loves bonds and hates equities. Check out all of his answers to the Hedgeye 21.

read more

Amazon's New 'Big Idea': Ignore It At Your Own Peril

"We all see another ‘big idea’ out of Amazon (or the press making one up) just about every day," writes Retail Sector Head Brian McGough. "But whatever you do, DON’T ignore this one!"

read more