We’ve been banging the People Aren’t Bullish Enough drum for a while now. We're doing that for a reason.
People haven’t been, and still aren’t long enough. That’s the glaring bottom line right now. Look, the numbers aren’t lying. US growth continues to surprise on the upside. It’s that simple. Just look at the numbers.
This morning’s US jobless claims number fits this trend like a glove. Sure, it was up slightly week-over-week, but don’t miss the forest for the trees folks. Non-seasonally adjusted claims were better by 8.2% vs last year, as compared with the 8.0% improvement in the previous week. The labor market is improving and it is doing so at an accelerating rate. The trend is your friend here.
The bears are waiting for the boogeyman. Look, we'll be the first to tell you that there are plenty of things to short out there. We’ll short JGBs and the Weimar Nikkei until the cows come home. We’ve been very clear on that. But the S&P 500 isn’t one of them.
We remain strong buyers on the dips. The trend is your friend on the long US equity side.