European Banking Monitor: Green Means Go

Below are key European banking risk monitors, which are included as part of Josh Steiner and the Financial team's "Monday Morning Risk Monitor".  If you'd like to receive the work of the Financials team or request a trial please email .

 

Key Takeaways:

 

* European Financials - There are a lot of roses coming up in Europe lately. European banks were tighter across the board last week as Cyprus-related fears shifted from the back burner to ancient memory. Italian banks tightened an average of 30 bps, boosted by finally having a government.

 

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European Financial CDS - European banks were tighter across the board last week as Cyprus-related fears shifted from the back burner to ancient memory. Italian banks tightened an average of 30 bps, boosted by finally having a government.

 

European Banking Monitor: Green Means Go - ww. banks

 

Sovereign CDS – So much for Cyprus. European sovereign swaps continue to tighten. Italy, Spain, Portugal and Ireland all came in by 9-19 bps week-over-week, and are down 19-50 bps over the past month. Meanwhile, the U.S., Germany, France and Japan all remain a yawn with 1 bp moves.

 

European Banking Monitor: Green Means Go - ww. sov 1

 

European Banking Monitor: Green Means Go - ww. sov 2

 

Euribor-OIS Spread – The Euribor-OIS spread remained flat last week at 13 bps. The Euribor-OIS spread (the difference between the euro interbank lending rate and overnight indexed swaps) measures bank counterparty risk in the Eurozone. The OIS is analogous to the effective Fed Funds rate in the United States.  Banks lending at the OIS do not swap principal, so counterparty risk in the OIS is minimal.  By contrast, the Euribor rate is the rate offered for unsecured interbank lending.  Thus, the spread between the two isolates counterparty risk. 

 

European Banking Monitor: Green Means Go - ww. euribor

 

ECB Liquidity Recourse to the Deposit Facility – ECB deposits were up 5.8 billion Euros last week. The ECB Liquidity Recourse to the Deposit Facility measures banks’ overnight deposits with the ECB.  Taken in conjunction with excess reserves, the ECB deposit facility measures excess liquidity in the Euro banking system.  An increase in this metric shows that banks are borrowing from the ECB.  In other words, the deposit facility measures one element of the ECB response to the crisis.  

 

European Banking Monitor: Green Means Go - ww. facility

 

 

 


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