European Banking Monitor: Data Remains Supportive For Now

Below are key European banking risk monitors, which are included as part of Josh Steiner and the Financial team's "Monday Morning Risk Monitor".  If you'd like to receive the work of the Financials team or request a trial please email .

 

* Sovereign CDS – Sovereign Swaps were mostly wider last week with Japan putting on a major move. Japanese CDS widened by 13 bps last week to 87 bps (a move of 17.8%). Meanwhile, the US also widened by 5 bps to 44 bps. This means the US now trades outside Germany (40 bps). Elsewhere in Europe, swaps were relatively unchanged. 

 

* On OMTs Reporting: The ECB has stated that Aggregate Outright Monetary Transaction holdings and their market values will be published on a weekly basis and the average duration of Outright Monetary Transaction holdings and the breakdown by country will take place on a monthly basis. There is no indication that the OMTs has been initiated to date.

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If you’d like to discuss recent developments in Europe, from the political to financial to social, please let me know and we can set up a call.

 

Matthew Hedrick

Senior Analyst

 

(o)

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European Financials CDS Monitor – Swaps mostly widened in European Financials last week, though there was nothing especially noteworthy.

 

European Banking Monitor: Data Remains Supportive For Now  - cc. banks

 

Euribor-OIS spread – The Euribor-OIS spread was flat week-over-week at 11 bps. The Euribor-OIS spread (the difference between the euro interbank lending rate and overnight indexed swaps) measures bank counterparty risk in the Eurozone. The OIS is analogous to the effective Fed Funds rate in the United States.  Banks lending at the OIS do not swap principal, so counterparty risk in the OIS is minimal.  By contrast, the Euribor rate is the rate offered for unsecured interbank lending.  Thus, the spread between the two isolates counterparty risk. 

 

European Banking Monitor: Data Remains Supportive For Now  - cc. euribor

 

ECB Liquidity Recourse to the Deposit Facility – The ECB Liquidity Recourse to the Deposit Facility measures banks’ overnight deposits with the ECB.  Taken in conjunction with excess reserves, the ECB deposit facility measures excess liquidity in the Euro banking system.  An increase in this metric shows that banks are borrowing from the ECB.  In other words, the deposit facility measures one element of the ECB response to the crisis.  

 

European Banking Monitor: Data Remains Supportive For Now  - cc. facility


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