Overbought: SP500 Levels, Refreshed

Takeaway: This is the first day in the last 7 trading days that my intraday SPY signal gave me a lower-high.

POSITIONS: 10 LONSG, 9 SHORTS @Hedgeye

 

Today, both the fundamental research and quantitative risk management signals said the same thing – time for a breather. This is the first day in the last 7 trading days that my intraday SPY signal gave me a lower-high.

 

Lower-high versus the 1494 I registered on the close last night, that is. We are obviously seeing higher-lows and higher-highs across longer-term durations, and that’s bullish, until it isn’t.

 

Across our core risk management durations, here are the lines that matter to me most:

 

  1. Immediate-term TRADE overbought = 1485
  2. Immediate-term TRADE support = 1459
  3. Intermediate-term TREND support = 1419

 

In other words, overbought is as overbought does. If all the Financials act the way WFC just did on the “news”, I’ll be surprised; especially if we go into the prints from a lower price. But then again, everyone else would probably be surprised too.

 

Keep moving out there,

KM

 

Keith R. McCullough
Chief Executive Officer

 

Overbought: SP500 Levels, Refreshed - SPX


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