Shark Bite, Part Deux: SP500 Levels, Refreshed...

03/23/09 03:13PM EDT
There is nothing quite like the most expedited 2-week short squeeze that we have seen in the US stock market since 1939.

Political calendar catalysts from here?

1. Geithner speaks tomorrow (House Financial Services Committee) – could easily be a negative
2. Bernanke speaks tomorrow (House Financial Services Committee) – could easily be a positive
3. Obama has an 8PM nationally televised speech tomorrow – heck, the guy is the new Warren Buffett with his “market is a bargain call”

Economic calendar catalysts from here?
1. New Home Sales = Wednesday
2. Michigan Consumer Sentiment = Friday
3. Morgan Stanley kicks off reporting for the bankers

Quantified Risk Management catalysts from here?
1. Price momentum = SP500 TRADE resistance at 817; TREND resistance at 829
2. Price
3. Price

That’s right – despite the Oracle of Obama’s “bargain” call this market doesn’t move on valuation, it moves on price. Everything else is part of a macro mosaic where we need to stay with the proactively risk management process, because no matter where you go in this market, there those prices are.

SP500 support continues to build to higher lows. Now I’m a buyer in the SP500 range of 753-768 (see green waters below, and beware of the Shark).
KM

Keith R. McCullough
CEO & Chief Investment Officer
© 2024 Hedgeye Risk Management, LLC. The information contained herein is the property of Hedgeye, which reserves all rights thereto. Redistribution of any part of this information is prohibited without the express written consent of Hedgeye. Hedgeye is not responsible for any errors in or omissions to this information, or for any consequences that may result from the use of this information.