We hosted Professor Ken Bickers from the University of Colorado to discuss his economic forecast model. His basic premise is that the economy will ultimately drive electoral decision making. He looks at this on a state-by-state basis. Historically, he has had a very strong track record historically and called each election going back to 1980 calling both the eventual winner, but also the coming very close to the electoral count. If he has partisan bias, we couldn’t discern it. His model currently predicts that Romney will win 330 electoral votes – a very non-consensus view. The slides and presentation are in the video below. Alternatively, you can watch it on YouTube here.
Latest Insights
