Materials for today's call: "VIEW FROM THE BATTLEGROUND STATES"

Today at 1:00pm EST the Hedgeye Macro Team and Healthcare Team will be hosting a View From the Battleground States Expert Call. 

 

Materials: View From the Battleground States

Please dial in 5-10 minutes prior to the 1:00pm EST start time using the number provided below:

  • Toll Free Number:
  • Direct Dial Number:
  • Conference Code: 496674#

 

 

"Based on our forecasting model, it becomes clear that the president is in electoral trouble"

-Ken Bickers     

 

Professor Kenneth Bickers of the University of Colorado will be featured on the call. Bickers and his colleague, Michael Berry, have created an economic forecasting model that has accurately predicted the outcome of the last eight presidential elections.

 

Topics will include: 

  • Electoral College vote set-up, impact and the importance of swing states 
  • Discuss Forecasting Model Factors: including state and national unemployment figures and changes in real per capita income
  • Factors that will make this election different 
  • Voter expectations and turn out
  • Economic impacts following the election (healthcare, fiscal cliff) 

Bickers' Background

  • Joined faculty at CU Boulder in 2003
  • Received his Ph.D. from the University of Wisconsin-Madison and his BA from TCU in Fort Worth
  • Published articles in numerous journals, including the American Journal of Political Science, Journal of Politics, Public Choice, Administration and Society, and the Journal of Conflict Resolution
  • Current research includes;
    • The consequences of devolution of federal policy activities to states and local communities
    • Local Government Elections Project, an ongoing investigation of the recruitment and campaigns of local office holders who populate local and state offices
    • Exploration of the relationship between residential mobility and local politics 

Cartoon of the Day: Bulls Leading the People

Investors rejoiced as centrist Emmanuel Macron edged out far-right Marine Le Pen in France's election day voting. European equities were up as much as 4.7% on the news.

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McCullough: ‘This Crazy Stat Drives Stock Market Bears Nuts’

If you’re short the stock market today, and your boss asks why is the Nasdaq at an all-time high, here’s the only honest answer: So far, Nasdaq company earnings are up 46% year-over-year.

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Who's Right? The Stock Market or the Bond Market?

"As I see it, bonds look like they have further to fall, while stocks look tenuous at these levels," writes Peter Atwater, founder of Financial Insyghts.

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Poll of the Day: If You Could Have Lunch with One Fed Chair...

What do you think? Cast your vote. Let us know.

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Are Millennials Actually Lazy, Narcissists? An Interview with Neil Howe (Part 2)

An interview with Neil Howe on why Boomers and Xers get it all wrong.

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6 Charts: The French Election, Nasdaq All-Time Highs & An Earnings Scorecard

We've been telling investors for some time that global growth is picking up, get long stocks.

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Another French Revolution?

"Don't be complacent," writes Hedgeye Managing Director Neil Howe. "Tectonic shifts are underway in France. Is there the prospect of the new Sixth Republic? C'est vraiment possible."

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Cartoon of the Day: The Trend is Your Friend

"All of the key trending macro data suggests the U.S. economy is accelerating," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough says.

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A Sneak Peek At Hedgeye's 2017 GDP Estimates

Here's an inside look at our GDP estimates versus Wall Street consensus.

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Cartoon of the Day: Green Thumb

So far, 64 of 498 companies in the S&P 500 have reported aggregate sales and earnings growth of 6.1% and 16.8% respectively.

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Europe's Battles Against Apple, Google, Innovation & Jobs

"“I am very concerned the E.U. maintains a battle against the American giants while doing everything possible to sustain so-called national champions," writes economist Daniel Lacalle. "Attacking innovation doesn’t create jobs.”

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An Open Letter to Pandora Management...

"Please stop leaking information to the press," writes Hedgeye Internet & Media analyst Hesham Shaaban. "You are getting in your own way, and blowing up your shareholders in the process."

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