On our Q3 Themes earlier today, we highlighted FNP as our top long here. We think it’s a gift at this price. With the stock below $9.50, it equates to Kate Spade trading below 11x 2013 EBITDA alone.
The chief concerns weighing on the stock here is how Juicy is tracking and the slowdown in global luxury. Juicy is a 2H story and Fall product just hit shelves this week so a bit premature perhaps, but keep in mind that Juicy accounts for less than 10% of EBIT - it does not make or break this story. As for the global slowdown, it’s reality. But this is a massively underappreciated budding global growth story that can buck the Macro backdrop.
With $1 in earnings power and a sub-$10 stock, we can’t find a better risk/reward setup in retail.