INITIAL CLAIMS: TREADING WATER

Initial Claims

Initial claims came in at 370k for the second week in a row. Incorporating the 2k upward revision to last week's print, claims fell by 2k. Rolling claims also declined, falling 5.5k to 370k. On a non-seasonally adjusted basis, claims rose 2.5k to 328k. Over the last few weeks, claims have been treading water, making only slight movements up or down. We expect to see claims rise in the summer months based on faulty seasonal adjustment factors. 

INITIAL CLAIMS: TREADING WATER  - Raw

INITIAL CLAIMS: TREADING WATER  - Rolling

INITIAL CLAIMS: TREADING WATER  - NSA

INITIAL CLAIMS: TREADING WATER  - NSA rolling

 

INITIAL CLAIMS: TREADING WATER  - S P

INITIAL CLAIMS: TREADING WATER  - Fed and Claims

 

2-10 Spread

The 2-10 spread tightened 3 bps versus last week to 145 bps as of yesterday.  The ten-year bond yield decreased 3 bps to 174 bps.

INITIAL CLAIMS: TREADING WATER  - 2 10

INITIAL CLAIMS: TREADING WATER  - 2 10 QoQ

Financial Subsector Performance

The table below shows the stock performance of each Financial subsector over four durations. 

INITIAL CLAIMS: TREADING WATER  - Subsector performance

Joshua Steiner, CFA

Allison Kaptur

Robert Belsky

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