SINGAPORE SLING

11/21/08 02:16PM EST
Singapore’s Trade ministry released Q3 GDP data today showing a 0.64% year-over-year decline and the second consecutive decline on a quarter-over-quarter basis. The ministry also lowered their growth forecast for next year to a 1% contraction as demand for export is expected to continue to decline –increasing the likelihood that the Central Bank will pursue a weak currency strategy. If that is the case they are already off to a great start, Singapore’s currency has slipped 11% against versus the US dollar since July.

We like to keep an eye on Singapore. As one of the last true city-states they provide a fascinating economic vantage point into south Asia. If prospects are diminishing so rapidly for this mature economy, it raises question about the rosy growth assessments that central bankers in some of their large developing neighbors still espouse.

Andrew Barber
Director
© 2024 Hedgeye Risk Management, LLC. The information contained herein is the property of Hedgeye, which reserves all rights thereto. Redistribution of any part of this information is prohibited without the express written consent of Hedgeye. Hedgeye is not responsible for any errors in or omissions to this information, or for any consequences that may result from the use of this information.