friday, june 13th, 2025
Join us for a special complimentary edition of The Macro Show, as Hedgeye Founder & CEO Keith McCullough and analyst Ryan Ricci break down the surge in Oil, USD fluctuations, and—more importantly—what’s coming next.
TOP 3 Things
- OIL – if there was a day to buy Oil, it was on LAST WEEK’s @Hedgeye TREND Breakout Signal on WTI (see our daily Risk Range™ Signal product for TREND Shifts), therefore we didn’t have to have a government “elite pass” on inside info on war. With WTI ramping another +9% this morning the TRR (top-end of Range) inflates to $77.14 WTI and this will continue to pressure our CPI Nowcasts HIGHER towards a QUARTERLY #Quad3 Stagflation for Q3 of 2025
- USD – Dollar Up, Rates Down, Stocks Down is what “Day1” of a potential #QuadShift “looks” like (a #Quad4 move). It doesn’t “feel” like anything. I’m 50yrs old now and I can barely feel anything! While we remain Short USD, 24 hours ago my Signaling Process had me covered it down to my MIN (position SIZE) and I reduced my Euro (FXE) Long to its MIN in kind; USD has plenty of hay to bail to get back to Bullish TRADE never mind TREND, but Day1 always starts with the 1st day, eh! We’ll see…
- #Quad4 Hedges – no need to have a panic attack – you’re already Long of some good #Quad4 Hedges that the Signaling Process kept us in like Gold (AAAU) +1% this morning and Utilities (XLU) up another +1.2% for The Fam yesterday; our process also had us Shorting Turkey (TUR) earlier this week as the AI embedded in my signal “sees” things coming, evidently! Don’t forget that we’re also long plenty of Country Exposures that don’t have USA’s potential #Quad4 or #Quad3 re-emerging