Cattle futures rallied to a record high as reduced herd sizes and strong demand for U.S. beef continues to support price.





Food processor stocks improved as the rebound in corn prices faded.


THE HBM: KKD, ARCO, YUM, SBUX, BWLD - subsector fbr





KKD: Krispy Kreme is to open 35 additional locations in the UK over the next six years.


ARCO: Arcos Dorados announced preliminary 3Q revenue of $970m to $990m and net income of $69 to $75 million.  The company expects its systemwide comparable sales growth for the third quarter of 2011 to be within a range of 14.8% to 16.2%.  With respect to EPS, the company expects an impact from an increase in compensation expense, certain one-time charges associated with the partial redemption of the Company’s 2019 Notes and the depreciation of certain local currencies versus the US dollar.


YUM:  Taco Bell has named Brian Niccol has its Chief Marketing and Innovation Officer.  Niccol has previously served as general manager at Pizza Hut and had been the brand’s CMO prior to that position.


SBUX: Starbucks features in a NY Post story this morning speculating that the company may be entering the pressed-juice bar business.  The article states that CEO Howard Schultz has been “scoping out” top New York juice bars and has hired Liquiteria manager Yohana Bencosme, an 11-year veteran of the juice-bar business from Washington Heights.





BWLD:  Buffalo Wild Wings was the only stock to trade on accelerating volume Friday as it underperformed peer casual dining stocks.


THE HBM: KKD, ARCO, YUM, SBUX, BWLD - stocks 1017



Howard Penney

Managing Director


Rory Green


Did the US Economy Just “Collapse”? "Worst Personal Spending Since 2009"?

This is a brief note written by Hedgeye U.S. Macro analyst Christian Drake on 4/28 dispelling media reporting that “US GDP collapses to 0.7%, the lowest number in three years with the worst personal spending since 2009.”

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7 Tweets Summing Up What You Need to Know About Today's GDP Report

"There's a tremendous opportunity to educate people in our profession on how GDP is stated and projected," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough wrote today. Here's everything you need to know about today's GDP report.

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Cartoon of the Day: Crash Test Bear

In the past six months, U.S. stock indices are up between +12% and +18%.

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GOLD: A Deep Dive on What’s Next with a Top Commodities Strategist

“If you saved in gold over the past 20 to 25 years rather than any currency anywhere in the world, gold has outperformed all these currencies,” says Stefan Wieler, Vice President of Goldmoney in this edition of Real Conversations.

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Exact Sciences Up +24% This Week... What's Next? | $EXAS

We remain long Exact Sciences in the Hedgeye Healthcare Position Monitor.

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Inside the Atlanta Fed's Flawed GDP Tracker

"The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNowcast model, while useful at amalgamating investor consensus on one singular GDP estimate for any given quarter, is certainly not the end-all-be-all of forecasting U.S. GDP," writes Hedgeye Senior Macro analyst Darius Dale.

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Cartoon of the Day: Acrophobia

"Most people who are making a ton of money right now are focused on growth companies seeing accelerations," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough wrote in today's Early Look. "That’s what happens in Quad 1."

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People's Bank of China Spins China’s Bad-Loan Data

PBoC Deputy Governor Yi says China's non-performing loan problem has “pretty much stabilized." "Yi is spinning. China’s bad-debt problem remains serious," write Benn Steil and Emma Smith, Council on Foreign Relations.

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UnderArmour: 'I Am Much More Bearish Than I Was 3 Hours Ago'

“The consumer has a short memory.” Yes, Plank actually said this," writes Hedgeye Retail analyst Brian McGough. "Last time I heard such arrogance was Ron Johnson."

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Buffalo Wild Wings: Complacency & Lack of Leadership (by Howard Penney)

"Buffalo Wild Wings has been plagued by complacency and a continued lack of adequate leadership," writes Hedgeye Restaurants analyst Howard Penney.

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Todd Jordan on Las Vegas Sands Earnings

"The quarter actually beat lowered expectations. Overall, the mass segment performed well although base mass lagging is a concern," writes Hedgeye Gaming, Lodging & Leisure analyst Todd Jordan on Las Vegas Sands.

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An Update on Defense Spending by Lt. Gen Emo Gardner

"Congress' FY17 omnibus appropriation will fully fund the Pentagon's original budget request plus $15B of its $30B supplemental request," writes Hedgeye Potomac Defense Policy analyst Lt. Gen Emerson "Emo" Gardner USMC Ret.

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