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    MARKET EDGES

    Identify global risks and opportunities with essential macro intel using Hedgeye’s Market Edges.

Notable macro data points, news items, and price action pertaining to the restaurant space.

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Consumer

The increase in gas prices seen in July has been arrested by global economic growth concerns.  Despite weakness in the dollar of late, gasoline prices have still been trending down so far this month.

THE HBM: TXRH, SBUX, BKC, CMG - gasoline chart

Subsector

Casual dining continues to underperform peer groups in the food, beverage and restaurant spaces.  EAT is the only name in casual dining to have outperformed the SPX over the past month.

THE HBM: TXRH, SBUX, BKC, CMG - subsectors fbr

QUICK SERVICE

  • CMG was raised to Outperform from Market Perform at Morgan Keegan.  The 12-month price target is $330.
  • CMG was moved to reveal that bacon is an ingredient in its pinto beans by the tweeting of journalist Seth Porges, who was surprised to learn – as a non-pork eater – that the pinto beans he had been eating for 10 years contained bacon.
  • BKC has ousted its King character as the first of many steps towards reinventing itself over the next year.  A new ad campaign is set to air this weekend rolling out the California Whopper.
  •  SBUX has agreed to pay £45,000 to settle a disability discrimination case brought on behalf of a Texan barista who claimed she was fired because she has dwarfism.

CASUAL DINING

  • TXRH CEO G.J. Hart is leaving the company to assume the role of Chairman and CEO of CPKI.

THE HBM: TXRH, SBUX, BKC, CMG - stocks 819

Howard Penney

Managing Director

            

Rory Green

Analyst