[COMPLIMENTARY] Top 3 Things | Asia/Rates/QQQ

03/09/23 08:16AM EST

Editor's Note: Below is a complimentary "Top 3 Things" note from Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough. Institutional investors receive this between 6:30-7am. To get on Keith's institutional distribution list email .

Nice little markup into yesterday’s US close had zero follow-through in Asia or Europe this morning…

  1. ASIA getting uglier, faster, now that the Hang Seng is confirming it’s recent Bearish @Hedgeye TREND Signal breakdown and Dr. KOSPI -0.5% overnight remains Bearish TREND alongside India (INDA) -0.9% which we remain short – and this all happening despite a Bullish #Quad1 CPI print out of China at +1.0% FEB vs. +2.1% JAN
  2. RATES – while bulls are hoping for a change in Fed Policy, they keep getting the change they can’t afford (a more HAWKISH Fed), so this has the Short-End of The Curve pinned up at 5.05% on 2s this morning and the Long-End dealing with The Cycle Slowing (30yr Yield 3.90% is -115bps inverted vs. 2s!), think about that…
  3. QQQ surprisingly complacent pricing of NASDAQ risk here heading into the jobs report with #NazVol probing the LOW-end of my Vol of Vol Risk Range around 24 and Implied Volatility DISCOUNTS of -5% for QQQ and -8% for XLK (vs. 30-day realized) 

Immediate-term @Hedgeye Risk Ranges: SP500 = 3; UST 10yr Yield = 3.86-4.10%

KM   

[COMPLIMENTARY] Top 3 Things | Asia/Rates/QQQ - 030923 EL graphic

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