THE M3: CHANGHI DEC RESULTS; RESORTS WORLD; VISITATION; CHINESE LENDING

The Macau Metro Monitor, January 20, 2011


DECEMBER PASSENGER DATA Changhi Airport Group

The number of passengers arriving into Singapore's Changhi airport rose 6.0% to 4,063,874 in December. Even though it is a new monthly record, it is a sequential slowdown from November's 7.7% YoY growth in number of passengers.

 

RESORTS WORLD SET TO BUY SINGAPORE TECH BUILDING Business Times 

Singapore Technologies is said to be close to selling its office block in the Tanjong Pagar area for nearly $150 million to Resorts World at Sentosa Pte Ltd--nearly $1,500 per square foot on the current net lettable area (NLA) of 98,906 sq ft.  Tanjong Pagar is slated to be transformed into a new bustling waterfront district after the container terminals in the vicinity eventually move out.

 

MORE VISITORS, MORE MONEY, MORE WISHING Intelligence Macau

Tourism chief Joao Manuel Costa Antunes, Director of the Macau Government Tourist Office, says his conservative forecast for Macau visitation is 10% growth.  IM believes the 10% target is not conservative but more realistic.

For visitation to reach double-digit growth rates, IM says Lot 5&6 needs to get back on track and a short timeline is needed for Wynn, SJM and MGM Cotai projects.  They think it's wishful thinking.

 

CHINESE BANKS LENT OUT RMB 1 TRILLION 21st Century Herald

According to sources, Chinese banks lent out more than RMB 1 trillion by Jan. 19.  The report comes even as Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said yesterday that his government will work to avoid "abnormal" loan growth during the current quarter.  Chinese banks tend to front-load their lending during the year to earn more interest income, so January and Q1 are usually the peak lending periods.  In January 2010, lending stood at RMB 1.39 trillion, by far the highest total of any month during the year.  In addition, China Development Bank had stopped lending for the rest of the month, having reached its quota.


Did the US Economy Just “Collapse”? "Worst Personal Spending Since 2009"?

This is a brief note written by Hedgeye U.S. Macro analyst Christian Drake on 4/28 dispelling media reporting that “US GDP collapses to 0.7%, the lowest number in three years with the worst personal spending since 2009.”

read more

7 Tweets Summing Up What You Need to Know About Today's GDP Report

"There's a tremendous opportunity to educate people in our profession on how GDP is stated and projected," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough wrote today. Here's everything you need to know about today's GDP report.

read more

Cartoon of the Day: Crash Test Bear

In the past six months, U.S. stock indices are up between +12% and +18%.

read more

GOLD: A Deep Dive on What’s Next with a Top Commodities Strategist

“If you saved in gold over the past 20 to 25 years rather than any currency anywhere in the world, gold has outperformed all these currencies,” says Stefan Wieler, Vice President of Goldmoney in this edition of Real Conversations.

read more

Exact Sciences Up +24% This Week... What's Next? | $EXAS

We remain long Exact Sciences in the Hedgeye Healthcare Position Monitor.

read more

Inside the Atlanta Fed's Flawed GDP Tracker

"The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNowcast model, while useful at amalgamating investor consensus on one singular GDP estimate for any given quarter, is certainly not the end-all-be-all of forecasting U.S. GDP," writes Hedgeye Senior Macro analyst Darius Dale.

read more

Cartoon of the Day: Acrophobia

"Most people who are making a ton of money right now are focused on growth companies seeing accelerations," Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough wrote in today's Early Look. "That’s what happens in Quad 1."

read more

People's Bank of China Spins China’s Bad-Loan Data

PBoC Deputy Governor Yi says China's non-performing loan problem has “pretty much stabilized." "Yi is spinning. China’s bad-debt problem remains serious," write Benn Steil and Emma Smith, Council on Foreign Relations.

read more

UnderArmour: 'I Am Much More Bearish Than I Was 3 Hours Ago'

“The consumer has a short memory.” Yes, Plank actually said this," writes Hedgeye Retail analyst Brian McGough. "Last time I heard such arrogance was Ron Johnson."

read more

Buffalo Wild Wings: Complacency & Lack of Leadership (by Howard Penney)

"Buffalo Wild Wings has been plagued by complacency and a continued lack of adequate leadership," writes Hedgeye Restaurants analyst Howard Penney.

read more

Todd Jordan on Las Vegas Sands Earnings

"The quarter actually beat lowered expectations. Overall, the mass segment performed well although base mass lagging is a concern," writes Hedgeye Gaming, Lodging & Leisure analyst Todd Jordan on Las Vegas Sands.

read more

An Update on Defense Spending by Lt. Gen Emo Gardner

"Congress' FY17 omnibus appropriation will fully fund the Pentagon's original budget request plus $15B of its $30B supplemental request," writes Hedgeye Potomac Defense Policy analyst Lt. Gen Emerson "Emo" Gardner USMC Ret.

read more