Below is a chart and brief excerpt from today's Early Look written by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough.
|
As many of you know, our proprietary Bayesian Inference #process is built upon Stochastic Principles. If you look at the detail on slide 19 you can see what we call the Conditional Probabilities of The Quads, by quarter: A) Conditional Probability of Quads 2 or 3 for Q1 of 2022 = 6.1% and 10.5%, respectively Therefore it’s either going to be #Quad1 or what we call a Narrow #Quad4 in Q1 of 2022. If it’s not, I’ll fail, fast. If it is either, that’s Goldilocks for the Asset Allocation decisions I’m making today. I’ll be buying Gold on my #VASP too. |
