CHART OF THE DAY: Inflation Deceleration

12/14/21 08:23AM EST

Below is a chart and brief excerpt from today's Early Look written by Hedgeye CEO Keith McCullough. 

After 6 straight quarters of US #InflationAccelerating:

A) 5 out of 6 quarters were #Quad2 (i.e. the healthy kind of nominal inflation and real GROWTH #accelerating)… and
B) 1 out of 6 quarters was #Quad3 in Q3 of 2021, which we call Stagflation, or real GROWTH #slowing

In 10yr UST Bond Yield terms:

A) That’s why the UST 10yr Yield put in its Cycle Peak during the fastest pace of Real GROWTH (Q2 of 2021)… and
B) Fell as real GROWTH #slowed into the lows of Q3, then re-tested its Cycle Peak, twice, in OCT-NOV 2021

And that, I think, was it. That’s why I bought 7-10yr Bonds (IEF) last week.

CHART OF THE DAY: Inflation Deceleration  - idc

© 2025 Hedgeye Risk Management, LLC. The information contained herein is the property of Hedgeye, which reserves all rights thereto. Redistribution of any part of this information is prohibited without the express written consent of Hedgeye. Hedgeye is not responsible for any errors in or omissions to this information, or for any consequences that may result from the use of this information.