September volume has accelerated well above the levels the US market saw in August. The negative volumetric "Trend" in this Bear market remains. Rallies are to lower highs on low volume, while selloffs to lower lows are met with heightened volume.
At the same time, the Volatility Index (VIX) is breaking out this morning, trading +6% at 22.65 as the US market hits her intraday lows. From a quantitative perspective in my model, a VIX trading anywhere north of the 21.63 level is bearish for US stocks.
From a risk factor perspective (for those of you who manage risk), these are two glaringly obvious facts. Both are "Trends". Both are negative.
Be careful out there,
KM
(picture: http://images.quickblogcast.com/860/grizzly.png)
At the same time, the Volatility Index (VIX) is breaking out this morning, trading +6% at 22.65 as the US market hits her intraday lows. From a quantitative perspective in my model, a VIX trading anywhere north of the 21.63 level is bearish for US stocks.
From a risk factor perspective (for those of you who manage risk), these are two glaringly obvious facts. Both are "Trends". Both are negative.
Be careful out there,
KM
(picture: http://images.quickblogcast.com/860/grizzly.png)
